The odds
as of Oct 26, 11:27 UTC- Ra'am 94% −2
- RZP-Zehut 92% +0.5
- Reservists and New Economic Party 41% +11
- Amcha Yisrael 38% +7.5
- Blue & White <1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$813
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−2.3 pts
Ra'am, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 19: 96% · Oct 20: 96% · Oct 21: 98% · Oct 22: 96% · Oct 23: 96% · Oct 24: 94% · Oct 25: 93% · Oct 26: 94%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
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