Moving
World's best restaurant in 2026? Asador Etxebarri 6% ▼−73Willem II Tilburg vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 95% ▲+57Napoli vs Roma Napoli 89% ▲+55SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma SSC Napoli 87% ▲+53Wagner vs Duquesne Wagner 70% ▲+53Will Claude go down on __ days in October? <5 31% ▼−51Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3 Above 75 thousand 73% ▲+50Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav Tie 32% ▼−49Dutch Bros Foot Traffic in October Above 103 62% ▲+47University at Albany vs Rhode Island University at Albany 85% ▲+45Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Corey Lewandowski 59% ▼−40Cornell vs Brown Brown 9% ▼−40Brengle vs McDonald Ella McDonald 79% ▲+38FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca FC Arouca 63% ▲+36
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

The market puts it at 3% — a long shot, about one in 33 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC.

Yes 3%

The odds

as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC
  • Chance of yes 3% —
Traded today$746
Traded in all$81K
Yes, 7 days−0.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 16Oct 243%

Oct 17: 3.5% · Oct 18: 3.4% · Oct 19: 3.4% · Oct 20: 3.3% · Oct 21: 3.3% · Oct 22: 3.2% · Oct 23: 3.2% · Oct 24: 3%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗

World

More markets like this

All →