The odds
as of Oct 5, 20:27 UTC- Chance of yes 5% −2.5
Traded today$645
Traded in all$28K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 6% · Sep 29: 13% · Sep 30: 8% · Oct 1: 8.5% · Oct 2: 8% · Oct 3: 8% · Oct 4: 7.5% · Oct 5: 5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗