The odds
as of Nov 12, 05:18 UTC- Bilal Hasan 90% +0.5
- Luis Gurule 11% −0.5
Traded today$56K
Traded in all$59K
Favourite, 7 days+4 pts
Bilal Hasan, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 5: 85% · Nov 6: 84% · Nov 7: 86% · Nov 8: 86% · Nov 9: 89% · Nov 10: 89% · Nov 11: 90% · Nov 12: 90%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Nov 12, 05:18 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Luis Gurule" if Luis Gurule is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bilal Hasan at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.
It will resolve to "Bilal Hasan" if Bilal Hasan is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
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