The odds
as of Oct 10, 02:38 UTC- Chance of yes 23% +18
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$86K
Yes, 7 days+18 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 3: 5.5% · Oct 4: 5% · Oct 5: 5% · Oct 6: 5% · Oct 7: 5% · Oct 8: 4.5% · Oct 9: 4.5% · Oct 10: 23%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.
Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗