The odds
as of Oct 23, 02:33 UTC- Dems sweep 50% −6.5
- Reps sweep 26% +9.3
- Dems TX & MI, Reps ME 11% +2
- Reps TX & ME, Dems MI 2.4% −6.6
- Dems TX & ME, Reps MI 1% −1.7
- Reps TX, Dems MI & ME <1% −4
- Dems TX, Reps MI & ME <1% —
- Reps TX & MI, Dems ME <1% —
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days+6.5 pts
Dems sweep, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 16: 52% · Oct 17: 46% · Oct 18: 50% · Oct 19: 48% · Oct 20: 49% · Oct 21: 54% · Oct 22: 55% · Oct 23: 50%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
See it on Polymarket ↗