The odds
as of Oct 16, 07:26 UTC- Chance of yes 1.6% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 9: 2.9% · Oct 10: 2.9% · Oct 11: 1.8% · Oct 12: 1.3% · Oct 13: 1.5% · Oct 14: 1.5% · Oct 15: 1.5% · Oct 16: 1.6%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗