The odds
as of Oct 25, 10:21 UTC- Jess Wilson 88% +5.5
- Ben Carroll 7% −4.5
- Warren Pickering 3.5% —
- David Southwick 2.9% −0.5
- Danny O'Brien 2.1% +1
- Sonya Kilkenny 1.9% —
- Ellen Sandell <1% —
- Gabrielle Williams <1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$32K
Favourite, 7 days+13 pts
Jess Wilson, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 18: 77% · Oct 19: 77% · Oct 20: 75% · Oct 21: 69% · Oct 22: 73% · Oct 23: 83% · Oct 24: 80% · Oct 25: 88%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Settlement sources: https://www.vic.gov.au/premier
See it on Polymarket ↗