The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Elif Eralp 83% +6.5
- Stefan Evers 14% −5
- Werner Graf 1.1% +0.8
- Steffen Krach <1% —
- Kristin Brinker <1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$212K
Favourite, 7 days+4.5 pts
Elif Eralp, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 80% · Sep 29: 80% · Sep 30: 79% · Oct 1: 77% · Oct 2: 77% · Oct 3: 76% · Oct 4: 74% · Oct 5: 83%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗