The odds
as of Oct 6, 10:26 UTC- December 31 22% +4
- October 31 3.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$1.8M
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 29: 22% · Sep 30: 18% · Oct 1: 18% · Oct 2: 17% · Oct 3: 18% · Oct 4: 18% · Oct 5: 18% · Oct 6: 22%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗