Moving
Grammy Winner: Best Contemporary Country Album Flow State 61% ▲+60Largest Company end of October 2026? Apple 71% ▲+57Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the ele… Gadi Eisenkot 61% ▲+57Camacho vs Reis Da Silva Emilio Camacho 56% ▲+52PPI MoM in October Above 0.4% 87% ▲+50NHL: Players to Record 50+ Goals Bryan Rust 53% ▲+49Shelton vs Kym Ben Shelton 27% ▼−49"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening… 105m+ 69% ▲+47Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacros… Great Britain 71% ▲+45Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by … Newt Gingrich 45% ▲+42Dylan Larkin's Next Team Montreal Canadiens 26% ▼−40Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 Above 1,400 units 94% ▲+37Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 67% ▲+33Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? Yes 56% ▲+33
PolymarketCloses November 4, 2026

ISM Services PMI - October 2026

53.0 to 53.9 leads at 55% (about 6 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 29, 23:17 UTC. It's up 30 points in the last 24 hours.

53.0 to 53.9 55% ▲ 30 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 29, 23:17 UTC
  • 53.0 to 53.9 55% +30
  • 56.0 to 56.9 27% +11
  • 55.0 to 55.9 14% +2.7
  • 59.0+ 11% +1.6
  • 54.0 to 54.9 11% −11
  • 58.0 to 58.9 9.3% +8.3
  • 57.0 to 57.9 5.1% −3.7
  • 51.0 to 51.9 2.3% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+26 pts

53.0 to 53.9, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 22Oct 2955%

Oct 22: 30% · Oct 23: 30% · Oct 24: 30% · Oct 25: 26% · Oct 26: 26% · Oct 27: 26% · Oct 28: 26% · Oct 29: 55%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for October 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for October 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on November 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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