The odds
as of Oct 5, 17:23 UTC- Chance of yes 11% −2.5
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$1.1M
Yes, 7 days−3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 14% · Sep 29: 14% · Sep 30: 14% · Oct 1: 14% · Oct 2: 14% · Oct 3: 14% · Oct 4: 14% · Oct 5: 11%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗