The odds
as of Oct 7, 02:39 UTC- 6 60% +5
- 7 39% +14
- 8 2.1% −10
- 10+ 2.1% −5
- ≤5 1.2% —
- 9 <1% −3
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$39K
Favourite, 7 days−13 pts
6, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 30: 73% · Oct 1: 73% · Oct 2: 46% · Oct 3: 39% · Oct 4: 40% · Oct 5: 52% · Oct 6: 55% · Oct 7: 60%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
See it on Polymarket ↗