The odds
as of Oct 30, 10:19 UTC- 0 55% −2
- 3 19% +4
- 1 17% −1
- 2 7% —
- 4+ 5.4% −1
Traded today$681
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−6 pts
0, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 23: 61% · Oct 24: 61% · Oct 25: 60% · Oct 26: 59% · Oct 27: 59% · Oct 28: 56% · Oct 29: 55% · Oct 30: 55%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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