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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Greenland snap election called by December 31?

The market puts it at 4.1% — a long shot, about one in 24 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 26, 11:27 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 4.1% ▼ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 26, 11:27 UTC
  • Chance of yes 4.1% −1
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$26K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 18Oct 264%

Oct 19: 5.2% · Oct 20: 5.2% · Oct 21: 5.2% · Oct 22: 5.2% · Oct 23: 5.3% · Oct 24: 5.5% · Oct 25: 5.3% · Oct 26: 4.1%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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