The odds
as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC- Jean-Luc Mélenchon 38% +1.5
- David Lisnard 21% +7.5
- Édouard Philippe 16% −14
- Marine Le Pen 11% −0.5
- Raphaël Glucksmann 9.5% −1.5
- François Hollande 1.7% —
- Bruno Retailleau <1% —
- Gabriel Attal <1% —
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$37K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 17: 31% · Oct 18: 31% · Oct 19: 34% · Oct 20: 33% · Oct 21: 33% · Oct 22: 35% · Oct 23: 36% · Oct 24: 38%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordA presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
See it on Polymarket ↗