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PolymarketCloses April 18, 2027

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads at 38% (about 4 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC. It's up 1.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 38% ▲ 1.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 38% +1.5
  • David Lisnard 21% +7.5
  • Édouard Philippe 16% −14
  • Marine Le Pen 11% −0.5
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 9.5% −1.5
  • François Hollande 1.7% —
  • Bruno Retailleau <1% —
  • Gabriel Attal <1% —
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$37K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 16Oct 2438%

Oct 17: 31% · Oct 18: 31% · Oct 19: 34% · Oct 20: 33% · Oct 21: 33% · Oct 22: 35% · Oct 23: 36% · Oct 24: 38%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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