The odds
as of Oct 18, 19:17 UTC- Chance of yes 6.5% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$1.1M
Yes, 7 days+1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 11: 5.2% · Oct 12: 4.7% · Oct 13: 7.7% · Oct 14: 8.9% · Oct 15: 8.6% · Oct 16: 6.5% · Oct 17: 7.3% · Oct 18: 6.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗