The odds
as of Oct 7, 22:22 UTC- Max Verstappen 32% −8
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli 22% —
- Lewis Hamilton 15% —
- Charles Leclerc 13% —
- George Russell 9.5% —
- Lando Norris 9.5% —
- Oscar Piastri 4.5% —
- Isack Hadjar 4.5% —
Traded today$18K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days+11 pts
Max Verstappen, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 31% · Oct 7: 32%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Max Verstappen; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Max Verstappen set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification. If Qualifying does not progress to Q3 (e.g., weather, red flags, or format changes), Pole Position will be awarded based on FIA’s official qualifying results for that event. Pole Position for this market is determined exclusively by the official "Final Qualifying Classification" and is not impacted by the final starting grid; any subsequent grid penalties or starting-order adjustments do not change who is deemed to have achieved Pole Position. Sprint race qualifying sessions are not considered for this market. If the qualifying session is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the qualifying session is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: FIA
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