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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2028

Deepseek IPO by...?

December 31, 2027 leads at 69% (about 7 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 6, 16:29 UTC. It's up 5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 6, 16:29 UTC
  • December 31, 2027 69% +5
  • September 30, 2027 59% −1
  • June 30, 2027 33% −1
  • March 31, 2027 5% —
  • December 31, 2026 1.5% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$623
Traded in all$47K
Favourite, 7 days−10 pts

December 31, 2027, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 669%

Sep 29: 79% · Sep 30: 79% · Oct 1: 79% · Oct 2: 66% · Oct 3: 60% · Oct 4: 63% · Oct 5: 64% · Oct 6: 69%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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