The odds
as of Oct 7, 16:29 UTC- Patient Zero - Taylor Swift 86% +3.5
- Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 13% −3.6
- Boston - Stella Lefty <1% —
- Be Her - Ella Langley <1% —
- I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift <1% —
- hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande <1% —
- Been By Now - Morgan Wallen <1% —
- Drake & Don Toliver - Solar Eclipse <1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+62 pts
Patient Zero - Taylor Swift, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 3: 60% · Oct 4: 54% · Oct 5: 89% · Oct 6: 89% · Oct 7: 85%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 7, 16:29 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordBillboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 17, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
See it on Polymarket ↗