The odds
as of Oct 7, 21:24 UTC- 900K-975K 56% −16
- 975K-1.05M 14% +7.5
- 825K-900K 14% +2.5
- 1.05M+ 9.9% +5
- 750K-825K 5.5% −1
- 675K-750K <1% —
- <600K <1% —
- 600K-675K <1% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+27 pts
900K-975K, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 30: 30% · Oct 1: 26% · Oct 2: 26% · Oct 3: 26% · Oct 4: 26% · Oct 5: 26% · Oct 6: 63% · Oct 7: 56%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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