The odds
as of Nov 4, 05:17 UTC- Democratic party 59% +7
- Republican party 42% −9
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$35K
Favourite, 7 days+12 pts
Democratic party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 47% · Oct 29: 48% · Oct 30: 48% · Oct 31: 48% · Nov 1: 48% · Nov 2: 51% · Nov 3: 52% · Nov 4: 59%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗