The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Troy Jackson 56% −2
- Susan Collins 45% +4
Traded today$156K
Traded in all$7.6M
Favourite, 7 days−4 pts
Troy Jackson, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 60% · Sep 29: 60% · Sep 30: 59% · Oct 1: 59% · Oct 2: 60% · Oct 3: 60% · Oct 4: 57% · Oct 5: 56%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Troy Jackson; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗