The odds
as of Oct 26, 01:37 UTC- 5.5 or above 79% +55
- 5.75 or above 32% +30
- 6 or above 11% +3
- 6.25 or above 14% —
- 6.5 or above 12% —
- 6.75 or above 8% —
- 7 or above 12% +3
- 7.25 or above 11% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$566K
Favourite, 7 days+35 pts
5.5 or above, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 19: 45% · Oct 20: 25% · Oct 21: 35% · Oct 22: 37% · Oct 23: 47% · Oct 24: 38% · Oct 25: 38% · Oct 26: 50%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 5.5 or above; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the USD/BRL rises above 5.4999 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Trading Economics
See it on Kalshi ↗