The odds
as of Nov 4, 05:17 UTC- Labour party 42% +3.5
- Reform party 33% —
- Conservative party 14% +4
- Restore Britain party 3.8% —
- Green party 1.9% —
- Liberal Democratic party <1% —
- Your Party <1% —
- Bruv party <1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$267K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
Labour party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 27: 39% · Oct 28: 39% · Oct 29: 36% · Oct 30: 36% · Oct 31: 36% · Nov 2: 37% · Nov 3: 42% · Nov 4: 42%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Labour party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Labour receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes. If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the House of Commons
See it on Kalshi ↗