The odds
as of Nov 4, 17:15 UTC- Clayton Tucker 94% +54
- Nate Sheets 1.5% −54
Traded today$9K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+56 pts
Clayton Tucker, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 39% · Oct 29: 45% · Oct 30: 55% · Oct 31: 31% · Nov 1: 46% · Nov 2: 43% · Nov 3: 34% · Nov 4: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Clayton Tucker; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Clayton Tucker wins the 2026 Texas Commissioner of Agriculture election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Texas Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗