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KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?

The market puts it at 6.5% — a long shot, about one in 15 — on Kalshi, as of Oct 25, 21:20 UTC. It's down 4 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 6.5% ▼ 4 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 25, 21:20 UTC

Chance of yes 6.5% −4

Traded today$572

Traded in all$48K

Yes, 7 days−2.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price

Oct 18: 9% · Oct 19: 9% · Oct 20: 9% · Oct 21: 9% · Oct 22: 9% · Oct 23: 9% · Oct 24: 9% · Oct 25: 6.5%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word

If George R.R. Martin has announced a release date for The Winds of Winter before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: George R.R. Martin

See it on Kalshi ↗

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