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PolymarketCloses November 1, 2026

United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Max Verstappen leads at 46% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 24, 23:19 UTC.

Max Verstappen 46%

The odds

as of Oct 24, 23:19 UTC
  • Max Verstappen 46% —
  • Kimi Antonelli 43% +21
  • Charles Leclerc 5% −10
  • Lewis Hamilton 3.5% −4
  • George Russell 2.1% −2.4
  • Lando Norris 1.8% −7.6
  • Isack Hadjar 1.7% +1
  • Oscar Piastri <1% −0.5
Traded today$71K
Traded in all$104K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts

Max Verstappen, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 17Oct 2446%

Oct 17: 44% · Oct 18: 43% · Oct 19: 43% · Oct 20: 45% · Oct 21: 45% · Oct 22: 45% · Oct 23: 45% · Oct 24: 46%

The same question on Kalshi

Polymarket46%Max Verstappen
2 pt gap
Kalshi44%Max Verstappen →

Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 24, 23:19 UTC.

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Settlement sources: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

See it on Polymarket ↗

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