The odds
as of Oct 6, 19:22 UTC- At least 1 date cancelled 82% —
- At least 2 dates cancelled 75% —
- At least 3 dates cancelled 40% —
- At least 4 dates cancelled 27% —
- At least 5 dates cancelled 14% —
- At least 6 dates cancelled 11% —
- At least 7 dates cancelled 6.5% —
- At least 8 dates cancelled 6.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$82K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, At least 1 date cancelled; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If at least 1 dates from Ed Sheeran 's Loop Tour 2026 are cancelled after market issuance and before Dec 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: NME; Pitchfork; Variety; Billboard; the Associated Press; Reuters; The New York Times; Rolling Stone
See it on Kalshi ↗