The odds
as of Nov 3, 19:14 UTC- Proposition 316 95% +1
- Proposition 319 94% +12
- Proposition 141 88% —
- Proposition 317 86% −5
- Proposition 318 84% −1
- Proposition 320 66% −3
- Proposition 142 65% −6
- Proposition 144 59% −7
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$53K
Favourite, 7 days+44 pts
Proposition 316, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 27: 52% · Oct 28: 87% · Oct 29: 86% · Oct 30: 87% · Oct 31: 87% · Nov 1: 88% · Nov 2: 87% · Nov 3: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Proposition 316; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Proposition 316 passes in Arizona, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Arizona Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗