Moving
Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras - Exact Score Fluminense FC 0 - 2 SE Palmeiras 87% ▲+81Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: Correct Score Nashville SC wins 3-0 83% ▲+74Porras vs Gonzalez-Galino Julio Cesar Porras 17% ▼−67Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union: Correct Score Philadelphia Union wins 3-1 71% ▲+67FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: Correct Score FC Dallas wins 1-0 74% ▲+66Saint Louis City SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Cor… Draw 0-0 69% ▲+65Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th Alibaba 59% ▲+56New Orleans vs Dallas Dallas 10% ▼−53Pelicans vs. Mavericks Pelicans 93% ▲+53Game 3: Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Milwaukee 88% ▲+49Saint Louis vs Vancouver Tie 70% ▲+45Frodin vs Berlanga Bandera Thea Frodin 94% ▲+45Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026? 4+ 65% ▲+44Which coalition will form the next Romanian govern… PSD 71% ▲+42
KalshiCloses November 3, 2026

Rogue Point of Sale Growth in October

A ladder on one number: the likeliest rung is Above 65 at 95% on Kalshi, as of Oct 15, 02:32 UTC. It's up 6 points in the last 24 hours.

Above 65 95% ▲ 6 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 15, 02:32 UTC
  • Above 65 95% +6
  • Above 67 76% —
  • Above 68 68% +3
  • Above 69 56% −8
  • Above 70 32% +14
  • Above 71 28% +5
  • Above 73 12% —
  • Above 75 5% —

A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$6K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+18 pts

Above 65, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 7Oct 1594%

Oct 8: 82% · Oct 9: 92% · Oct 10: 89% · Oct 11: 90% · Oct 12: 89% · Oct 13: 90% · Oct 14: 90% · Oct 15: 94%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 65; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Carbon Arc Rogue Point of Sale Growth (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 65 , then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 2nd calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 2nd. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Rogue Point of Sale Growth was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel using in-store and online purchases captured via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Carbon Arc

See it on Kalshi ↗

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