The odds
as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC- Allyson 89% +26
- Cadu de Lula 14% −23
- Alvaro Dias 5% —
- Dário Barbosa 1% —
- Carlos Jararaca 1% —
- Henrique Lyra 1% —
- Rodrigo Bolsonaro 1% —
- Professor Robério Paulino 1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+10 pts
Allyson, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 78% · Sep 29: 72% · Sep 30: 70% · Oct 1: 76% · Oct 2: 81% · Oct 3: 80% · Oct 4: 82% · Oct 5: 88%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Allyson; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Allyson wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
See it on Kalshi ↗