The odds
as of Oct 6, 16:29 UTC- Above 28.0¢/kWh 95% —
- Above 28.5¢/kWh 89% —
- Above 29.0¢/kWh 87% —
- Above 29.5¢/kWh 77% +8
- Above 30.0¢/kWh 34% −7
- Above 30.5¢/kWh 12% —
- Above 31.0¢/kWh 6.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$79K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 28.0¢/kWh, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 95% · Sep 30: 95% · Oct 1: 95% · Oct 2: 95% · Oct 3: 95% · Oct 4: 95% · Oct 5: 95% · Oct 6: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 28.0¢/kWh; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If EIA reports Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for calendar year 2026 is above 28.0¢/kWh, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use Rhode Island’s Residential value in EIA Electric Power Monthly Table 5.6.B, Average Price of Electricity to Ultimate Customers by End-Use Sector, by State, for the year-to-date period through December 2026. Prices are measured in cents per kilowatthour. EIA calculates average retail electricity prices from retail electricity revenue divided by retail electricity sales; they are not individual utility tariff rates.
Settlement sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration
See it on Kalshi ↗