The odds
as of Oct 6, 03:30 UTC- Below 193 28% +1
- 198-202 18% —
- 193-197 14% +1
- 203-207 14% +1
- 208-212 10% −1
- 213-217 7.2% —
- 218-222 4% —
- 223-227 2.5% —
Traded today$43K
Traded in all$3.6M
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
Below 193, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 30% · Sep 30: 30% · Oct 1: 30% · Oct 2: 30% · Oct 3: 30% · Oct 4: 30% · Oct 5: 28% · Oct 6: 28%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Below 193; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗