The odds
as of Oct 16, 04:26 UTC- before April 2027 84% −6.5
- before 2027 72% —
- before December 63% —
- before November 31% −3
- before September 3% —
- before October 2% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$660
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
before April 2027, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 9: 84% · Oct 10: 84% · Oct 11: 84% · Oct 12: 84% · Oct 13: 84% · Oct 14: 83% · Oct 15: 83% · Oct 16: 84%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, before April 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Food and Drug Administration; Compass Pathways
See it on Kalshi ↗