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KalshiCloses November 9, 2026

Xfinity 500 Winner

Denny Hamlin leads at 16% (about 2 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 27, 03:30 UTC.

Denny Hamlin 16%

The odds

as of Oct 27, 03:30 UTC
  • Denny Hamlin 16% —
  • Ryan Blaney 14% —
  • Kyle Larson 10% —
  • Joey Logano 8.5% —
  • Chase Elliott 8.5% —
  • Chase Briscoe 7.5% —
  • Christopher Bell 6.5% —
  • William Byron 6% —
Traded today$61K
Traded in all$62K
Favourite, 7 daysunch

Denny Hamlin, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 26Oct 2716%

Oct 26: 15% · Oct 27: 16%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Denny Hamlin; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Denny Hamlin finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at the 2026 Xfinity 500, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Denny Hamlin retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: the Governing League

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