Moving
Who will headline Coachella 2027? Chappell Roan 94% ▲+88Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026? Exactly 5 cuts 68% ▲+57Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacros… Canada 84% ▲+55NASCAR Cup Series Champion Kyle Larson 90% ▲+54Streamer Awards: Best Content Group Clooless 57% ▲+52Milic vs Uchida Kaichi Uchida 81% ▲+48Watanabe Eriksson vs Suresh Alexander Watanabe Eriksson 97% ▲+47Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 47% ▲+37Pro Football Next Coach Out Dan Quinn 38% ▼−32Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 23 - Oct… 200+ 16% ▼−30Watch Dis: First Week Album Equivalent Units Above 10K 46% ▼−29Bulgarian presidential election winner? Iliana Yotova 64% ▼−27Bank of Brazil decision in December? 25 bps decrease 33% ▼−26Geylang International vs Hougang United Geylang International 60% ▲+25
KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

Georgia Governor margin of victory

Bottoms, 1+ pts leads at 57% (about 6 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 26, 08:38 UTC. It's up 3 points in the last 24 hours.

Bottoms, 1+ pts 57% ▲ 3 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 26, 08:38 UTC
  • Bottoms, 1+ pts 57% +3
  • Bottoms, 2+ pts 48% +6
  • Bottoms, 3+ pts 39% +6
  • Bottoms, 4+ pts 27% +2
  • Bottoms, 5+ pts 24% —
  • Bottoms, 7+ pts 12% —
  • Bottoms, 10+ pts 4.2% —
  • Bottoms, 13+ pts 2.5% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$9K
Traded in all$40K
Favourite, 7 days+14 pts

Bottoms, 1+ pts, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 18Oct 2656%

Oct 19: 42% · Oct 20: 46% · Oct 21: 42% · Oct 22: 53% · Oct 23: 55% · Oct 24: 52% · Oct 25: 53% · Oct 26: 56%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Bottoms, 1+ pts; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Georgia by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).

Settlement sources: Georgia Secretary of State

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →