The odds
as of Nov 5, 17:16 UTC- Duke 41% −3
- Alabama 39% —
- Florida St. 35% —
- Florida 33% —
- Cincinnati 31% —
- Illinois 26% +8
- UConn 23% +5
- UCLA 21% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$51K
Traded in all$58K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Duke, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 29: 39% · Oct 30: 38% · Oct 31: 39% · Nov 1: 42% · Nov 2: 41% · Nov 3: 41% · Nov 4: 43% · Nov 5: 41%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Duke; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Duke qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Semifinals, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves to Yes if the team qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Semifinals. This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA; ESPN
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