The odds
as of Oct 7, 01:04 UTC- Justina Pula 93% +87
- Arianit Koci 2% —
- Fatmire Mulhaxha-Kollçaku 2% —
- Feride Rushiti 2% —
- Glauk Konjufca 2% —
- Lumir Abdixhiku 2% —
- Lutfi Haziri 2% —
- Bekim Sejdiu 1.5% −31
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$60K
Favourite, 7 days+47 pts
Justina Pula, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 30: 5.5% · Oct 1: 6.5% · Oct 2: 6.5% · Oct 3: 6% · Oct 4: 5.5% · Oct 5: 5.5% · Oct 6: 88% · Oct 7: 93%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Justina Pula; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Justina Pula formally holds the position of President of Kosovo before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion. A person permanently holds the office after beginning the presidential mandate by taking the oath before the Assembly. Service only as Acting President does NOT qualify. If an unlisted person is the first to permanently hold the office after Issuance, every listed market resolves NO.
Settlement sources: Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo
See it on Kalshi ↗