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KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Jimmy Kimmel: Fired in 2026?

The market puts it at 5% — a long shot, about one in 20 — on Kalshi, as of Nov 6, 19:14 UTC. It's up 3 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 5% ▲ 3 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 6, 19:14 UTC
  • Chance of yes 5% +3
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$58K
Yes, 7 days+2.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 30Nov 64%

Oct 30: 2.5% · Oct 31: 2.5% · Nov 1: 5% · Nov 2: 5.5% · Nov 3: 3.5% · Nov 4: 3.5% · Nov 5: 3% · Nov 6: 4%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If Jimmy Kimmel has been involuntarily terminated from the position of host and/or executive producer of Jimmy Kimmel Live! at ABC after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An involuntary termination is defined as: ● Termination for cause, including but not limited to performance issues, misconduct, policy violations, or breach of employment agreement ● Termination without cause where ABC unilaterally ends the employment relationship ● Dismissal, discharge, or removal from office by ABC or its governing body ● Non-renewal of an employment contract where ABC chooses not to extend the relationship ● Removal by vote of no confidence, impeachment, or similar formal removal process ● Suspension pending termination that results in actual termination before Jan 1, 2027 ● Coerced or involuntary resignation

Settlement sources: The Washington Post; Associated Press; NBC News; CNBC; Fox News; CBS News; Jimmy Kimmel; Securities and Exchange Commission filings; ABC News; Axios; The Wall Street Journal; CNN; The New York Times; Reuters; Politico; Bloomberg News

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