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KalshiCloses October 9, 2026

Messi First Goal + Argentina Win

The market puts it at 43% — about 4 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Oct 6, 22:25 UTC. It's up 2.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 6, 22:25 UTC
  • Chance of yes 43% +2.5
Traded today$82K
Traded in all$85K
Yes, 7 days+2.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 6Oct 644%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If Lionel Messi scores the first non-own goal of the match and Argentina wins the match during the Argentina vs Benin International Friendly soccer match originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time and any officially recognized extra time periods, then the market resolves to Yes. Both conditions must occur: Lionel Messi must be officially credited with the first non-own goal of the match, and Argentina must win the match. The first qualifying goal is the first non-own goal scored by either team, including regulation, stoppage time and any extra time. Penalty-shootout attempts are not recorded match goals. The winning team is determined by the official match result, including any officially recognized tiebreaking procedure. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ESPN; FIFA

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

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