The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Spain 79% +3
- Draw (Croatia vs. Spain) 14% −1
- Croatia 7.5% −2
Traded today$107K
Traded in all$277K
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts
Spain, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 73% · Sep 29: 70% · Sep 30: 71% · Oct 1: 67% · Oct 2: 69% · Oct 3: 72% · Oct 4: 78% · Oct 5: 79%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Croatia and Spain.
Settlement sources: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗