Moving
World's best restaurant in 2026? Asador Etxebarri 6% ▼−73Willem II Tilburg vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 95% ▲+57Napoli vs Roma Napoli 89% ▲+55SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma SSC Napoli 87% ▲+53Wagner vs Duquesne Wagner 70% ▲+53Will Claude go down on __ days in October? <5 31% ▼−51Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3 Above 75 thousand 73% ▲+50Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav Tie 32% ▼−49Dutch Bros Foot Traffic in October Above 103 62% ▲+47University at Albany vs Rhode Island University at Albany 85% ▲+45Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Corey Lewandowski 59% ▼−40Cornell vs Brown Brown 9% ▼−40Brengle vs McDonald Ella McDonald 79% ▲+38FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca FC Arouca 63% ▲+36
KalshiCloses October 26, 2026

IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026

A ladder on one number: the likeliest rung is At least 190,000 points at 86% on Kalshi, as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC. It's up 10 points in the last 24 hours.

At least 190,000 points 86% ▲ 10 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC
  • At least 190,000 points 86% +10
  • At least 191,000 points 86% +18
  • At least 192,000 points 86% +27
  • At least 193,000 points 77% −1
  • At least 197,000 points 76% —
  • At least 198,000 points 76% —
  • At least 199,000 points 85% +39
  • At least 204,000 points 76% —

A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$29K
Traded in all$41K
Favourite, 7 days+26 pts

At least 190,000 points, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 19Oct 2486%

Oct 19: 60% · Oct 20: 87% · Oct 21: 84% · Oct 22: 87% · Oct 23: 81% · Oct 24: 86%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, At least 190,000 points; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV), in native index points is at least 190,000 index points at the official B3 closing observation on October 26, 2026 (Brazil trading date), then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves using the official IBOVESPA (IBOV) closing level for October 26, 2026, including the closing auction. The observation is the official close for that Brazil trading date, even if its publication is delayed. The native index-point level is used, with no currency conversion; this explicitly overrides the default USD iteration. Source Agencies apply in the filed hierarchical order: the index, its provider (B3), TradingView, Trading Economics, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, BBC, CNBC, and CNN. TradingView's IBOV page is https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/. The observation is evaluated to two decimal places. If it is at least 190,000 index points, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. An earlier threshold crossing does not satisfy this closing or exact-time observation. Revisions after expiration are not considered. If no data for the specified observation is available by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than No data or None resolve to No, as provided in the filed terms. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the B3. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Trading View

See it on Kalshi ↗

Economy

More markets like this

All →