The odds
as of Nov 4, 05:17 UTC- Above 10 95% +46
- 10 6.5% +1
- 9 6% −2
- Below 8 1% —
- 8 1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$45K
Favourite, 7 days+65 pts
Above 10, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 31% · Oct 29: 31% · Oct 30: 32% · Oct 31: 33% · Nov 1: 30% · Nov 2: 35% · Nov 3: 40% · Nov 4: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 10; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Democrats win above 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: New Jersey Division of Elections
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