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KalshiCloses March 12, 2027

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

The market puts it at 94% — about 9 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Nov 1, 07:16 UTC. It's up 7 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 94% ▲ 7 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 1, 07:16 UTC
  • Chance of yes 94% +7
Traded today$13K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days+14 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 24Nov 194%

Oct 25: 80% · Oct 26: 81% · Oct 27: 81% · Oct 28: 81% · Oct 29: 90% · Oct 30: 88% · Oct 31: 89% · Nov 1: 94%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If Glacier National Park reports that total Glacier National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 3,305,512, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the National Park Service's “Recreation Visits” measure for Glacier National Park. Non-recreation visits, visitor hours, overnight stays, and other visitor-use measures will not be included. Current-year NPS visitation data are preliminary and subject to revision. NPS states that the data are finalized by the end of the first quarter of the following calendar year, so resolution will use the first finalized 2026 recreation-visits total rather than a preliminary monthly or YTD figure.

Settlement sources: National Park Service

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