The odds
as of Nov 4, 05:17 UTC- Chance of yes 10% −1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$26K
Yes, 7 days−5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 15% · Oct 29: 13% · Oct 30: 14% · Oct 31: 14% · Nov 1: 14% · Nov 2: 14% · Nov 3: 13% · Nov 4: 14%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf any member of Congress is expelled before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; United States Congress; Bloomberg News; NBC
See it on Kalshi ↗