The odds
as of Oct 12, 16:28 UTC- Before Jan 1, 2028 12% +21
- Before Jul 1, 2027 5% −1
- Before Jan 1, 2027 2.9% —
- Before Dec 1, 2026 1.5% +1
- Before Sep 1, 2026 1% —
- Before Oct 1, 2026 1% —
- Before Nov 1, 2026 1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$2.0M
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
Before Jan 1, 2028, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 8: 8.5% · Oct 9: 8.5% · Oct 10: 13% · Oct 11: 9.5% · Oct 12: 12%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jan 1, 2028; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗