The odds
as of Oct 7, 02:39 UTC- Before Jan 20, 2029 37% −1
- Before Jan 1, 2028 23% −2
- Before Jan 1, 2027 8.2% −3.3
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$138K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Before Jan 20, 2029, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 30: 36% · Oct 1: 38% · Oct 2: 38% · Oct 3: 38% · Oct 4: 38% · Oct 5: 38% · Oct 6: 38% · Oct 7: 37%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jan 20, 2029; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗