The odds
as of Nov 4, 19:14 UTC- Chance of yes 4% −8
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$169K
Yes, 7 days−6.8 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 11% · Oct 29: 12% · Oct 30: 14% · Oct 31: 14% · Nov 1: 14% · Nov 2: 14% · Nov 3: 14% · Nov 4: 4%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the Department of Education is sunsetted or eliminated entirely before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department that is no longer titled the “Department of Education”, then the market will resolve to Yes
Settlement sources: United States Congress; White House; The New York Times; the Department of Education
See it on Kalshi ↗