The odds
as of Oct 25, 01:34 UTC- Above 90 96% —
- Above 96 60% −4
- Above 97 34% −6
- Above 98 19% −7
- Above 99 18% —
- Above 100 8.5% —
- Above 101 5.5% —
- Above 102 4.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$36K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Above 90, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 18: 95% · Oct 19: 98% · Oct 20: 98% · Oct 21: 98% · Oct 22: 96% · Oct 23: 96% · Oct 24: 96% · Oct 25: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 90; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Carbon Arc Cava Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Cava Foot Traffic was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more visits than year prior, 97 = 3% fewer visits than year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc mobile location data across 200M+ devices, matched to the same calendar days of the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily as new data arrives.
Settlement sources: Carbon Arc
See it on Kalshi ↗